Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ICP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-17 0.001091 0.001128 0.001165 0.001206 0.001250 0.001295 0.001345
2025-08-24 0.001007 0.001060 0.001116 0.001178 0.001247 0.001321 0.001407
2025-08-31 0.000967 0.001033 0.001104 0.001187 0.001281 0.001386 0.001512
2025-09-07 0.000929 0.001005 0.001088 0.001187 0.001303 0.001435 0.001601
2025-09-14 0.000890 0.000972 0.001064 0.001175 0.001308 0.001465 0.001667
2025-09-21 0.000855 0.000942 0.001039 0.001160 0.001308 0.001485 0.001721
2025-09-28 0.000829 0.000919 0.001022 0.001152 0.001314 0.001513 0.001784
2025-10-05 0.000791 0.000881 0.000986 0.001119 0.001286 0.001496 0.001787
2025-10-12 0.000770 0.000863 0.000971 0.001111 0.001290 0.001517 0.001841
2025-10-19 0.000755 0.000851 0.000964 0.001112 0.001303 0.001552 0.001916
2025-10-26 0.000737 0.000834 0.000950 0.001103 0.001304 0.001569 0.001965
2025-11-02 0.000725 0.000825 0.000945 0.001104 0.001317 0.001604 0.002041
2025-11-09 0.000710 0.000811 0.000933 0.001098 0.001321 0.001625 0.002102
2025-11-16 0.000693 0.000795 0.000919 0.001088 0.001319 0.001639 0.002150
2025-11-23 0.000689 0.000794 0.000924 0.001102 0.001351 0.001703 0.002283
2025-11-30 0.000680 0.000787 0.000921 0.001106 0.001367 0.001744 0.002384
2025-12-07 0.000667 0.000774 0.000909 0.001097 0.001366 0.001759 0.002440
2025-12-14 0.000652 0.000759 0.000895 0.001085 0.001358 0.001764 0.002479
2025-12-21 0.000641 0.000749 0.000885 0.001078 0.001359 0.001780 0.002540
2025-12-28 0.000621 0.000726 0.000859 0.001049 0.001324 0.001740 0.002495
2026-01-04 0.000611 0.000716 0.000850 0.001042 0.001323 0.001753 0.002549
2026-01-11 0.000604 0.000710 0.000846 0.001042 0.001333 0.001785 0.002640
2026-01-18 0.000595 0.000701 0.000837 0.001035 0.001330 0.001795 0.002690